Where the rich live ?

Soft marketing article by the WSJ to pump up real estate in India. Mostly sponsored by the builders. The question to ask is where do the rich get the money , and how much tax do they pay and have paid over the past few years. I dare WSJ to carry out an article on this topic.

Super-luxury apartments are back in vogue and they are bigger and better than ever before.

As India's economy has gained momentum over the past several months, super-wealthy corporate professionals and businessmen are once again ready to pay $1 million or more for their dream homes. That can buy apartments with five bedrooms or more spread over 5,000 to 10,000 square feet and with amenities like personal lap pools and jogging parks in the sky.

From gold tiled bathtubs to sky-high verandas, luxury living is back. Following a market lull in 2008, India's wealthy class is again dishing out top dollar for luxury apartments. WSJ's Shefali Anand reports.

Home builders are rushing to meet this demand. At least a dozen super-luxury apartment complexes are being built across India right now, mostly in the major metro cities of Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore.

The recent flurry of activity is a sharp reversal from early 2009, when the luxury housing segment was all but abandoned as the Indian economy's growth slowed. Developers had to slash apartment prices by 30% to 40% in February and March 2009, in order to find buyers, says Sanjay Dutt, chief executive officer for business at Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj, a real-estate services firm. Developers are trying to outdo each other in breaking fresh ground in luxury.

Some market experts are now getting worried about prices, which they say have reached near peak-2007 levels. Given that, and the huge upcoming supply, there could be downward price pressure on these apartments over the next few months, says Poonam Mahtani, national director of Colliers International (India) Property Services Pvt. Ltd., a real-estate-services firm.

In south Mumbai's Lower Parel neighborhood, for instance, around 10 million square feet of area is likely to be freed up for building high-end apartment buildings, according to an estimate by Religare Capital Markets Ltd. To create enough demand for these apartments, prices need to drop by 20% to 25%, says Suhas Harinarayan, managing director and co-head of research at Religare Capital Markets.

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S.D. Corporation Pvt. Ltd.

While real-estate prices are tough to predict, buyers might benefit by waiting for a few more months. When many of these apartments come to market at the same time, they can get better prices, say consultants.

Buyers who don't want to wait are still getting a better deal than they were before the downturn, because developers are providing more value for the same price.

"Up till now, we didn't have properties which were fully fitted out in terms of closets and woodwork," says Shveta Jain, director, residential services, Cushman & Wakefield India Pvt. Now, however, these fittings are commonplace.

India weighs capital controls with rupee on rise

Economic times reports on the RBI's efforts to curb the inflow of hot money into India. Instead of adding a tax to the inflow, the RBI should tax outflows so short term speculators think twice before speculating the currency. The govt. is pandering to the exports led IT lobby which will see rupee based earnings shrink as the rupee appreciates. RBI is trying to generate some fear among the investment community however given its inept record in overseeing the IPL Cayman islands/Marutius mess its credibility is doubtful when it is given the task of policing inflows into capital markets.

If foreign money from Caymans ended up in IPL, it would not be surprising if thousands of crores found its way in real estate deals. Anyone from Goa can tell you how much Russian money has influenced the rise of real estate there. Showing fake teeth to the public is what govt officials can do. The general population has to deal with the ineptness of its own elected and selected officials. Just quoting fancy Yale professors to solve India's problems is like applying balm for treating coronary heat disease. Sigh..

India's government is weighing capital controls with the rupee on the rise amid fears of "hot money" flowing into the country as investors pile back into Indian assets.

Unlike fellow emerging market giant China, India allows its currency to float freely and the central bank has warned of the dangers of "sharp and volatile" exchange rate movements that could hurt India's economy.

With the rupee riding at 18-month highs against the dollar, one idea Reserve Bank of India Governor Duvvuri Subbarao is airing to curb sudden big movements in the currency's value is a tax on foreign exchange transactions, known as a Tobin tax, similar to one Brazil introduced last year.

"Depending on what flows come in, we would employ measures, including if necessary something like the Tobin tax," Subbarao said last week, referring to a proposal first aired in the 1970s by Yale economics professor James Tobin.

Realty firms under scanner for slush funds

Just what the doctor ordered. An anema of of the entire money laundering system. Ironically DLF and others will have Modi to blame for all the attention. If the heat turns on, new funds will be very afraid to enter the market. Expect the bubble to pop in the foreseeable future.

Economic times reports

NEW DELHI: Major realty firms of the country are under the probe of enforcement agencies for alleged violation of FDI terms and use of slush funds worth several thousand crore brought in from certain tax havens.

While the Enforcement Directorate has carried out raids at premises of realty firm Emaar MGF for alleged violations of Foreign Exchange Management Act in the recent past, the latest to feel the ED heat was realty fund and developer IREO.

Sources said more number of firms are under the scanner and a detailed probe is underway. The Income Tax department has also conducted its operations and is now planning to delve deep into the tax statement of the realty firms.

When contacted, IREO had said "Some officials from the department of revenue have approached IREO for certain information and clarifications, which are being duly responded to. IREO remains committed to fully cooperate with the authorities, like always."

Incidentally, the moves come following a report prepared by an arm of the Revenue Department late last year, which identified the real estate market as the sector having the highest percentage of black money.

The most common violation that the investigating agencies have found in the realty sector is the alleged breach of Foreign Direct Investment terms.

They said many firms are believed to have diverted investments meant for the real estate sector to purchase agricultural land.

Under various agreements with the Foreign investment Promotion Board (FIPB), agricultural land is a sector barred for investment.

The searches that have been initiated now by the ED are the culmination of months of discreet probe into the real estate sector by various arms of the Revenue Department.

They said many of the funds are being brought in from tax havens like the Caymen Islands, Mauritius among others.

In some cases, the Directorate has learnt that certain realty firms had opened up multiple companies to acquire more land than the prescribed ceiling and had even made their low level employees as its Directors without their knowledge.

L.K Advani wants to get back black money from Swiss accounts

Here is your chance to comment in the blog and urge Mr Advani to generate pressure on the government to recover lost assets rightfully belonging to the Indian people. Corruption is the root cause of disproportionate assets in India and this is a way to fix it. Here is a link to Mr Advani's blog. Apart from Switzerland there are hundred other places where one can launder money. In this age of the internet it is not hard to know where all money can be stashed. Just the other day UBS released a statement of data theft of account names and numbers which were stolen by an employee. HSBC reported a similar theft few days ago. In this age there is no privacy and employees can be easily swayed by easy money to get hold of critical account data. Banks will try to tighten security policies and restrict access but to a motivated data thief, getting few megabytes of data is a cake walk.

We are going to see a lot of skeletons tumble from the black money cupboard. Its not a question of 'IF, its a question of 'WHEN'.

Dubai links with Indian real estate developers are closer then they appear

It appears that some Indian real estate developers are funded by black money from India which is illegally taken out of India through hawala channels and then subsequently bought back into the country thru legal FDI investments.

This process of whitewashing leaves no stains and by that virtue seems to be the model method of black money conversion. If Koda as the enforecment directorate claims funnelled 700 crores back, how many smaller transactions are waiting to be uncovered, only if the ED has time and funds to investigate. India is plagued by a gazillion scams and this one is just beginning to unfold. Its no surprise that Dubai which houses the infamous Don is at the epicenter of this investigation.

Pioneer reports

Koda routed loot through Emaar

Ex-CM diverted money for tribal welfare to Dubai real estate giant The money that was supposed to be used for the welfare of tribals of Jharkhand has been ‘diverted’ to the Commonwealth Games projects by former State Chief Minister Madhu Koda. The investigating agencies finally got a lead on the hawala transactions made by Koda, currently under arrest for scam of over Rs 4,000 crore.Koda aides are alleged to have siphoned huge money from the State coffers to Dubai, which has been channeled back ironically to propel a major Commonwealth Games project — the Games Village — through the Dubai-based real estate developer Emaar MGF, which started operations in India just about four years ago and has become one of the ‘leading’ real estate developers.Well-placed sources in the Enforcement Directorate told The Pioneer that the directorate has clues about monetary transactions between Koda and Emaar MGF, which is building projects for the 2010 Games also besides several other investments. Emaar MGF is developing the residential complex for the participants of the Games on the banks of Yamuna. After a protracted and not-free-from-controversy tendering process, the Delhi Development Authority (DDA) awarded the project of Games Villages behind the Akshardham Temple to the Emaar MGF last year. The ED on Thursday raided the offices of Emaar MGF and homes of several board members in and around Delhi in connection with the multi-crore money laundering scam involving the former Jharkhand Chief Minister.

I-T dept raids HDIL premises

The Income Tax (I-T) department has raided 12 Housing Development and Infrastructure (HDIL) premises, reports CNBC-TV18 quoting sources. The raided premises include residences of two HDIL directors. Sources said the department has recovered unaccounted cash of Rs 1.54 crore so far.

HDIL has been claiming excess expenses and undermining profits, it has been alleged. Over 100 I-T department officials were involved in the raids today, sources said. HDIL is publicly listed and trading at 308 at close of business 9/10/2009. Lets see what 9/11 brings to HDIL. I'm not sure what the fuss is all about with builders and black money. Everybody knows that there is no way one can buy in Mumbai without paying 40% black. What is the fuss all about ? and why single out HDIL ? Why not others like Raheja's and Akruti and countless other big and small builders ?

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Searching the blog and other things

Someone asked me on how to search the blog effectively to find out articles related to duping of buyers by the builders. I've tried to tag all such articles with various tags like fraud etc. Look at the bottom of this posting and you will see those tags. Click on those tags and you will find the relevant articles.
On another note, due to some personal commitments I am unable to follow the market and post articles on a regular basis. I would urge some other folks to take up this mantle for the benefit for all concerned parties. I had given some folks posting rights in the past and I can give some more folks who would like to take up the cudgels from me. We have a good audience and the bull bear story will continue for a long time before everyone is exhausted.

As I see the market in Mumbai, speaking to friends everyone tells me the money has dried up. Some businessmen friends have drops of upto 40-50% in their sales. Rents have dropped. I was shocked to see some rentals going for 32k, which were quoting 50-60k last year.

We are in a deep protracted downturn, specially Mumbai. As I have said repeatedly, be it Mumbai, Pune, Chennai, Bangalore, affordability for Indians or NRI's is upto 4,000 per sq/ft. Anything above is for the politicians and black money operators. Anyone who pays more then that is going to suffer for a long time.

Lastly I spoke to a loan banker who said that most builders have reduced rates but still some are holding on. He does not see any hope for anything more then 7k. He is bit more bullish them I am :)

the areas I was referring to in this and previous posts is in Santa Cruz and Vile Parle.

For a responsible citizen, is investing in land the wrong thing to do?

Like a few other NRIs, I got carried away during the boom years of Bangalore Real Estate and invested in land. I tend to think I am a responsible citizen, so in order to avoid the normal trappings of black money, went with a 'BDA approved developer' in an approved layout. All the money I put in was accounted for money - directly from my savings earned through my full time job. I made sure the money I paid was properly accounted for, receipts issued and so on.

To my surprise, at the time of land registration, the land was being registered for a fraction of what I paid for and the rest of the money going towards 'community development' towards the developer. Again, since this was all documented correctly in the documents I signed and since I had written proof, I didn't think twice about this. I was now a proud land owner in Bangalore.

Early 2007, I visited India and tried to sell the land. I was told that the best deal I could sell the land was through a 50:50 split of black vs white money. Even if I find a buyer to pay completely through white money, I would run into trouble trying to register the land at that face value, since the face value might be much higher than the prevailing rate or the rate the Government sets as fair price value.

Now the quandary. I dislike black money. I strongly feel it feeds corruption, feeds the mafia monster and in general prevents India from truly becoming the great nation it ought to be. From a pure investment point of view, as white money, I have barely beaten the Fixed Deposit rates offered by the banks and I have generated an equivalent amount of black money. The preferred way of disposing off the black money would be to re-invest the money into real estate, thereby feeding the corrupt system even more fodder. I disliked the idea and I haven't sold the land yet.

Every person I talk to treat this with an very casual attitude, "Every one does it, so what is the big deal?" - "There are much bigger fish to fry in India, no one comes after you and me".

In my view, it is pretty callous and the domino effect caused by many of us small investors is what drives the parallel Indian black economy. The more you feed the mafia monster, the more it grows. It controls countries in the long run.

Hence the title of the blog. For a responsible citizen, is investing in land the wrong thing to do? To be very clear, I am not looking for suggestions of what to do with black money - I am looking to hear from you what responsible citizens would do to avoid the black money mess in the first place.