Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Cell phone towers increase cancer risk in residential buildings

Recently I thought of looking for a rental apartment in Mumbai and asked few brokers to show me some apartments. One of the apartments I liked was on the 6th floor of a 7 storey building which had a cell phone tower installed on the terrace. I had heard about the ill-effects of cell-phone radiation in the past but never thought much about it as it didn't  affect me. I did a quick google search and a very recent study done by an IIT professor Dr Girish Kumar came up in the results. 

The results of his study are alarming. In one case  he has listed the occurrence of cancer in residents living in consecutive floors of a building(5,6,7,8,9) which faces a cell phone tower. This particular instance was enough for me to abandon that particular apartment and finding the choice apartment has now become increasingly hard as there are cell phone towers everywhere. Given that one can easily step-up the power of these RF amplifiers I would not be surprised if a majority of cell-phone towers are  on steroids. I urge all home-seekers ownership or rentals to consider this very important factor  in their home search.

Staying 400 meters from a cell phone tower is possible only in the IIT Mumbai campus :). 


The study is below. Mobile Tower Radiation Danger and Solutions Proposed to Government - Prof. Girish Kumar - May 2012

Sunday, May 06, 2012

Power of Attorney deals cause market slowdown

NEW DELHI: The ban imposed by the Delhi government on general power of attorney as a mode of property transfer, following a Supreme Court order, is expected to impact the entire property market. Property dealers say that while the ban was required to regularize property transactions, in the absence of a simple and clear procedure for converting leasehold property or property held under GPA into freehold, transactions may fall sharply, at least for a while. 

"The move is right - that's how it should be. Property should not be transferred through power of attorney. However, along with this, the government should improve the process, the system of transfer so that people don't suffer. A majority of owners go for GPA because they don't have a choice. I think residential property will be hit the most," says Anshuman Magazine, chairman and MD, CBRE South Asia Pvt. Ltd. 

More from the Economic Times

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Mumbai is the world's least affordable home market

Article Link

Bloomberg research shows a 100-square-metre luxury residence in Mumbai costs about $US1.14 million, or 308 times the average annual income in India, based on calculations from a housing index compiled using 63 markets by Knight Frank LLP and income estimates of the US Central Intelligence Agency for purchasing-power parity in 2011.

“There are big differences in wealth levels in emerging markets compared to the developed world, which is part of the course for economic development,” Bailey said in an e-mailed response to questions. “In the first phase of growth some people make big fortunes, it takes time for this to trickle down as the middle class develop and generate their own wealth.”

This guys have no clue on why prices are so high in Slumbai. It is politician, builder, mafia nexus which does not let prices down and does not create infrastructure to increase land supply.

Sunday, April 01, 2012

Chennai - GST road land value rises rapidly

Chennai, the laggard in the property bubble has finally caught up with Bangalore and other IT cities like Pune and Noida. Guideline values of agricultural land on the fringes of the city have been revised on an average of upto 270%. Hindu has more on this. 32L documents have been registered in FY2011. By this comparison the number or registrations stands at 4,000 per month. This just shows the scale of affordability in Mumbai as compared to Chennai. 

Jumping on this trend Artha property, an arm of the Times Group has launched villa's off GST road, in close proximity to Mahindra World City. Gives the reach of Times of India full page advertisements coupled with Artha's marketing savvy, I am expecting huge positive response to this property.  Added to this the Times Group can post surreptitious  marketing articles likes this which promote their own self interest it won't be too long that these 230 villa's will be sold in no time.

I expect that the area around Artha meadows sees rapid development in the next few years, as investors and end users join in herds in anticipation of double digit returns. Areas like Adyar are over priced and OMR is flooded with investors which have pushed land prices way to high for anyone to make money in this high interest rate environment. GST road appears to solve the problem of affordability at the expense of a longer commute. For those working around GST this cannot come at a much better time.

Disclaimer : 
I have been a fan of this area for some time due to its low prices and high potential and some of the investments made by me few years ago might see some fruit in the years to come.

Friday, March 16, 2012

Budget 2012 implications on Indian real estate, Gold , Stock markets and black money

Lets discuss how this impacts investments and taxability for Indian residents and NRI's.

1. IT exemption limit raised marginally so more income in every tax payers pocket.
2. Gold bars tax limit increased, making gold more expensive. The process of laundering black to white using gold also becomes more expensive.
3. Service Tax increase of 2% passed down to end users
4. Cars become expensive due to increase in excise duty
5. Electronics less expensive as the import duty is cut marginally
6. TDS for real estate transactions. This is a big one.
7. I don't understand how real estate capital gains become tax free after one year.
8. The first step for Indian government to tax all global income is proposed by the FM where NRI's/Indian residents are mandated to report foreign ownership of assets held abroad. Hell if the US government can do it, so can the Indian FM
9. Rail budget has increased Freight rates which directly inflates the cost of everything including steel, cement, coal
10. Coal prices are expected to increase in April which causes electricity prices to be hiked.
11. Petrol/Diesel will soon rise now that UP elections are behind us.

Instead of presenting the budget the FM should just increase the cost of everything by 10% every year. It will save us the trouble of analyzing

Please add comments and I will roll all salient points into the main post

Sunday, March 04, 2012

Investors in Mumbai flats want money back Investors in Mumbai flats want money back Investors in Mumbai flats want money back

Times Of India reports. Of all the papers this is TOI reporting.. Again.. Times of India reports :)

Underconstruction investors are screwed big time. Brokers are returning calls as prices are dropping in Mumbai. With good cash one can easily snatch a good deal.  Unfortunately this cannot be said of Bangalore/Chennai or Pune as yet.

MUMBAI: Property speculators and investorswho book flats even before the project is launched are in trouble. Builders who used to take money from them upfront and promised them large areas by manipulating certain spaces in the building, can no longer do so after BMC's stringent building laws kicked in in January. 

Across the city, most builders sell up to 30% of their stock at a discounted rate to investors if they pay a major chunk of the amount upfront. These deals are struck when builders do not even have the basic construction approvals in place. 

Earlier, when building rules could be manipulated to the hilt, developers misused and sold areas which were not part of the apartment. These areas were then surreptitiously and illegally amalgamated into the flat to make it bigger. New rules have upset the calculations of such builders who had promised larger houses to their investors. 

Thursday, March 01, 2012

DLF Business Model Suspect

Here is the news 

Verbatim
"Canadian research firm Veritas has slammed realty major DLF Ltd, calling its accounting practices “conflicting” and pointing at gaps in its business model — charges the company termed “mischievous and presumptive”. Earlier, Veritas Investment Research had come out with damaging reports on other Indian firms, including Reliance Industries, Reliance Communications and Kingfisher Airlines.
Veritas has said DLF’s stock is at best worth Rs 100, and the company may have to recast its loan. DLF said “the company adhered to the highest standards of corporate governance and financial integrity”. “We do not generally comment on individual research reports. However, this report in question is presumptive and mischievous as the analysts have never contacted the company to seek any information or clarification,” a DLF spokesperson said . “The audited financials of the company are always in the public domain,” he added. Following the report, the DLF stock price dropped 5.5 per cent on Thursday, becoming the biggest loser on the Bombay Stock Exchange, closing at Rs 214 after an opening of Rs 224."
Source: Moneycontrol ticker


- Source Business Standard (link 1)

Stock price chart
http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&chdd=1&chds=0&chdv=1&chvs=Linear&chdeh=0&chfdeh=0&chdet=1330634199048&chddm=391&chls=IntervalBasedLine&q=NSE:DLF&ntsp=0

Later Times of India trying to assuage market fears by claiming that DLF is crying foul
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/real-estate/news-/dlf-says-report-that-hit-its-shares-mischievous/articleshow/12100095.cms

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Smart money is moving out of realty; so why should you buy?

Article Link

If you are a home buyer waiting for property prices to fall before buying, here’s a counter-thought: the big investors are actually moving out of real estate.

One signal came last week when Deutsche Bank asked the Mumbai-based Lodha Group to return its money with a clean profit. The group forked out Rs 2,542 crore to the bank to enable it to exit its investment.

According to a Business Standard report, apart from Deutsche Bank, there are at least six other private equity and property funds that have exited. Among them: HDFC Property Ventures (two investments of Rs 715 crore), Kotak India Real Estate Fund I (Rs 575 crore), Indiareit Fund (Rs 500 crore), India Advantage Fund Series I (Rs 305 crore) and Trinity Capital plc (Rs 120 crore).

That’s a cool Rs 4,700 crore-and-odd opting out of real estate . The problem is fly-by-night “investors” are realty’s big mafia – keeping prices unreasonably high and preventing actual users from buying. This is also one reason why the Deutsche Bank’s are running away.

Thursday, February 09, 2012

Mumbai placed at 199 in list of 200 cities by per capita income

Read a report from Brookings Insitute.
Article Link

Top 3 Cities
1 Hartford North America 75,086
2 Oslo Western Europe 74,057
3 San Jose North America 68,141

Bottom 3 cities
198 Alexandria Middle East and Africa 2,248
199 Mumbai Developing Asia-Pacific 1,990
200 Cairo Middle East and Africa 1,989

So the question is: We have lowest per capita income, but highest real estate prices? All RE Bulls are immediate to compare Mumbai with New York, London, Tokyo, Singapore and Sanghai. While our income is just $1990 per capita. Are these BULLS cracking something???

Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Real estate BUY/SELL classifieds thread

Let use this thread to post classifieds for sale of apartments/houses/plots in India. I will pin this thread to the top so it can be accessed directly. Sellers please saleable Square Feet area, price and contact information. Buyers please do your due diligence before making the final purchase. Brokers can use this thread if they mention their commission percentage.  Please flag any trolls or undesirable postings.

Real estate BUY/SELL classifieds thread

Let use this thread to post classifieds for sale of apartments in India. I will pin this thread to the top so it can be accessed directly. Sellers please saleable Square Feet area, price and contact information. Buyers please do your due diligence before making the final purchase. Brokers can use this thread if they mention their commission percentage.  Please flag any trolls or undesirable postings.

Sunday, February 05, 2012

Ajit Dayal on real estate prices in India

I think someone with some real guts pointed out why Real Estate prices in India are artificially kept high by Politician / Builder nexus.... The unfortunate thing is there is no outrage. All PSU banks have large amount of money to Builders, and not to needy folks who want to start business, generate employment, etc... GOI has given tacit support to such an act. This situation needs to come out, unfortunately Main Stream Media has not reported this in detail.



Video Link

Friday, February 03, 2012

Mumbai Home Sales Drop to 3-Year Low as Prices Climb to Record

Article Link

Mumbai’s residential home sales dropped to a three-year low in the quarter ended December as record home prices and higher interest rates crimped demand, according to Liases Foras Real Estate Rating & Research Pvt.

Sales in Mumbai, India’s most expensive property market, fell 17 percent from the previous quarter to 7.59 million square feet, said Pankaj Kapoor, founder of Liases Foras. The city’s unsold inventory, or the number of months needed to clear stock at the existing absorption rate, climbed to 44 months. A “healthy market” normally maintains about eight months of inventory, according to Kapoor.

“The likely scenario looks like we will see a dip in prices seeing the dismal sales and as liquidity remains tight,” Kapoor said in a phone interview from Mumbai yesterday.

Sunday, January 29, 2012

Mumbai property: Will prices fall in 2012?

Article Link

To be sure, record home prices and higher interest rates have hit demand badly: Mumbai’s residential home sales dropped to a three-year low in the quarter ended December, according to a Bloomberg report.

According to data provided by Liases Foras Real Estate Rating and Research, sales fell 17 percent from the previous quarter to 7.59 million square feet, the report added.

Unsold inventory, or the number of months needed to clear stock at the existing absorption rate, also climbed to 44 months.

The figures elicited a rather predictable response from the founder of Liases Foras, Pankaj Kapoor: “The likely scenario looks like we will see a dip in prices seeing the dismal sales and as liquidity remains tight,” he told Bloomberg.

Unfortunately, we believe there is no guarantee that property prices will fall, no matter what the experts say.

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Sobha Signature, RIP

Sobha developers were supposed to build their super expensive highly "exclusive" penthouses for "high net worth individuals". Rs. 5 Crores to Rs.10 Crores for 6800 Sq ft to 8000 Sq ft exclusive apartments. This project called, Sobha Signature, located along the congested Harlur Road, was supposed to be their best thingamagic ever.

"Our CEO is going to live here". "Think about it". "O U R CEO. He is the person who will live here" - peddled a salesman.

Turns out, there aren't enough suckers to pay Rs.5 Crores to Rs.10 Crores in Bangalore. Sobha Signature project has been shelved and will be replaced by Sobha Classic Phase II, which is a "poor man's" luxury apartments. Sobha Classic 3 BRs run between 90 lakhs and 1.15 Crores today.

May be this is the start, the super high end is bursting in Bangalore.

Friday, January 06, 2012

Ignore warnings at own Peril

Article link, Emerging Markets

The collapse of the emerging markets, especially China, India, and Brazil, will have a huge ripple effect on the rest of the world’s economies, and will plunge most countries back into a global recession.

It is our view that emerging market growth has reached an unsustainable level and that a slowdown is taking place. A slowdown is generally not such a calamitous situation, but with expectations for China, and emerging markets at such extremes, the failure to meet or beat these lofty forecasts could mean big shocks to global economies and stocks.

Emerging Market Warning Signs

  • Surging inflation that threatens sustainable growth
  • Soaring money supply that fuels bubbles in stocks and real estate
  • Credit bubbles
  • Massive and understated loan exposure
  • Tightening monetary policy that could “put the brakes” on the economy
  • Inverted yield curves that usually appear before recessions
  • Real estate bubbles evident in ghost towns and empty malls
  • Overconfidence buying at auctions
  • The infamous “skyscraper indicator”
  • Fraudulent companies that have attracted investment from around the world when they are nothing but “shell” companies with unproven financials
  • Most importantly: The stock markets of China, Brazil, and others have been deep into bear-market territory in 2011 – down between 20 percent and 30 percent from their peaks
  • Sunday, January 01, 2012

    Laughing Waters is no Laughing Matter

    http://www.bangaloremirror.com/index.aspx?page=article§id=1&contentid=2011020420110204081607853b53eeb38


    An IT czar, two top-notch cricketers and a leading fashion designer have one more thing in common besides being super-achievers in their respective fields: All four, along with some 400 affluent Bangaloreans, seem to have been taken for a royal ride while attempting to purchase posh villas.


    Another major issue is the ambiguity over who the developer-cum-owner of the land really is. The name that has repeatedly cropped up is that of Prestige. According to Balasubramanian, the property was jointly developed by O G Ragulu’s son, Shrivatsa Rajulu, P S Developers (Prestige) and Laughing Waters. The permission for the layout from the administrator of Ramagondanahalli was obtained by Irfan Razack, chairman and managing director, Prestige Group. Razack held the power of attorney for O G Rajulu, the original owner of the land. Razack’s address mentioned in the documents is Copper Arch, Infantry Road — the official address of Prestige before it moved to the current office on Guard Cross Road.

    However, Prestige maintained that P S Developers was never a part of it. In a letter to the Laughing Waters Owners and Residents Association on November 9, 2010, Prestige Group’s senior vice president, T Arvind Pai, clarified: “We maintain that P S Developers is not part of the Prestige Group and to our knowledge is no longer in existence.” Pai stated that as per the grant khata issued by the thasildar’s office on March 13, 1967, “There is a kharab land of 4.36 acres which has to be reserved for road and drains. It is very clearly established that Laughing Waters is not a Gomala land or government land, and it is therefore incorrect to state that this is a Gomala land.”

    Friday, December 23, 2011

    As Rupee falls, NRIs 'home’ in on realty in Mumbai

    It appears that  a 15% decline in the rupee has lead to surge in NRI interest in property. While the rest of Indian economy slows down the NRI can sustain micromarkets in IT cities like Bangalore, Pune and Chennai

    DNA Article followed by one in Times of India. The builders are in overdrive mode courting the NRI.


    The record decline in the value of the Indian rupee and the sluggish realty market have proved to be a double delight for overseas Indians investing in property here.

    Sunil Sequira, a resident of Kuwait, has zeroed in on a property in Thane at a rate nearly 30% lower than usual. “This is the right time to buy property,” he said. “Many of my friends have also decided to buy property in India. We are expecting an annual 10% to 15% appreciation.”

    Sandeep Reddy, co-founder of Groff.com, a real estate brokerage firm, said it has been getting a good response from overseas buyers. At the recent property exhibition in Dubai, many people booked flats on the spot, and several showed interest in flying to Mumbai to check out property and finalise their decisions.

    “NRIs are mainly interested in Navi Mumbai and Bangalore properties. This time, there was a slightly lower demand for the Delhi market. Going by this response, we have decided to organise and participate in exhibitions in Singapore and other international places that have a large Indian population,” said Reddy.

    Niranjan Hiranandani, managing director of the Hiranandani Group, said, “The decline in the rupee value against the dollar/dinar in the international market has helped to attract more and more NRI buyers. If the cost of the flat is Rs1 crore as per the Indian market, the NRI has to pay only Rs85 lakh— 15% less, thanks to the record decline in the rupee value.”

    Commercial opportunities in the West are on a downturn. So, people are looking at the Indian market for investment and business purposes, he added. “Once the RBI brings down its high interest rate, the city property market will surge again. There is a huge demand for houses, but the high costs and interest rates have discouraged buyers temporarily. People are awaiting the low interest rate loan.”

    Times of India article

    Hot Indian property destinations for NRIs in 2012
    The Non Resident Indian (NRI) might as well remember 2011 as the year of the 'lazy investor'. For NRIs have gained 18% since August 2011, simply by remitting money to India; no effort at all. But as we approach 2012, NRIs must take stock of how best to use their remittances. The traditional favorite has always been real estate. But in this volatile market, how great an investment is it? Is this a good time to buy property in India? What kind of property is a good bet? Let's try to find answers.





    What are the key locations for residential property?
    "Suburban locations of every metro are great investment options. So for instance, you have Gandhinagar near Ahmedabad, Nalasopara, Dahisar, Panvel, Pen and Kalamboli near Mumbai," says Dutt.
    Mahtani places her bets on GST road, Porur and OMR in Chennai, North Bangalore largely Hibbal, Saha Shivnagar, Sarjapur Road and Whitefield in Bangalore, Dwarka Expressway in Gurgaon, Bandra East, Goregaon, Panvel in Mumbai and certain select developments in Lower parel, Mahalaxmi and Parel in Central Mumbai.

    Tuesday, December 13, 2011

    Discussions with a big builder's sales guy

    I was very ambivalent about posting this, but I am just pretty pissed how these big builders get away with semi-legal properties.

    Me:

    Do you still have any big 3 bedrooms on sale? What is the current price?

    Is there katha for the land?

    Sales VP:


    S****a C*****c is completely sold out. I can offer you big 3bhk of 2100 sft.
    in S*****a C******on. There are only two flats available in 3rd & 4th floor
    facing the swimming pool. Total will be 1.1 cr. (app) all inclusive.

    For every project there is a Khata.

    Me:


    OK.

    Is this a "A" Khata or a "B" Khata? My lawyers forbid the "B" Khata saying that is illegal.

    Sales VP:

    Sir, to keep you updated S****a is not related to any illegal documentation. Our property documentation is done by Mr. Anup Shah's law firm, one of the biggest lawyer of the country. Moreover our all projects are approved by SBI, they have their own panel of lawyers without whose confirmation SBI don't approve any property. Also S****a C****n I is ready to move in & people has started shifting now.

    I really don't know after staying in a S****a Flat also how come you are not confident of the builder. 99% of the S****a tenants end up buying in S****a only. We are the largest brand of South India and we are known for our transparency in clear legality of the documentation, doubting us is like doubting the engine quality of a Mercedes Benz car, for what they are famous in the world.
    If you & your lawyer has still doubts, then you are most welcome to our office, there you can meet our legal team and clarify your doubts.

    Me:

    I saw apartments come up for sale in L******er and J*****ne and both have "B" Katha. The general consensus amongst lawyers (I talked to a SBI lawyer as well) is the "B" Katha is not correct.

    Why is that other than Q*****z and one other property, no other S****a property in Bellandur area has a "A" Katha?

    There is a lot of discussion and angst amongst S*****a J******ne owners in the internal mailing list about the lack of this "A" Katha. I am curious to know why Jasmine does not have appropriate Katha for the land.

    I like living in a S*****a community, but I need to know why these properties only have a "B" Katha.

    Sales VP:

    As I told in the last mail you are most welcome to our office to have a detail discussion with our lawyers about all your legal clarifications.

    Also to keep you updated majority of the. S*****a J*****ne residents have bought 2nd/3rd time in S*****a only. I have clients in J*****e block 1 who have bought three times in S*****a and also referred so many of their friend & relatives for S*****a only.

    Me:


    OK. Fair enough.

    If I have to infer what you say, the land is all legal, but there are other things that have caused the "B" Katha. I will reach out to your legal department when I need help.

    Do you have a pointer to your legal department?

    For the record, I love S*****a J*****e.

    Sales VP:

    You can come to our office & meet Mr. Shivraj,from the legal time. But the main concern is C*****c is sold out , in C*****on only 2 flats are left. By the time you finish all your verifications there will be nothing to buy. Immediately block a flat first and then do all your queries.

    Me:

    Not really interested in C*****on. Don't like the location.

    There are plenty of resale properties available in the existing S*****a properties, including C*****c. I am not in a hurry to rush and buy anything without proper legal checks.

    Thanks for your help. I will take the help of Mr. Shivaraj as the need arises.

    Sales VP:

    We don't deal with resale as per our Company norms. Please let me know only if you are interested in new S*****a Property.
    Mr. Shivaraj can only help you only if you are a buyer of our property directly from S****a.


    And thus it goes. Unless the original buyer insists and gets clear documents and title from the developer, there is no chance in hell that you will get all the documents from the developer during subsequent years. And yet, people buy and sell properties worth many Crores.